2013 NFL Mock Draft – February Edition 3.0
Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/NFLDraft_JAM24
NEW: ADDED 03/02 – NFL Draft and Free Agency News and Notes:
The Combine has concluded, but all the questions haven’t yet been answered. Pro-days are the next step in the process, and we’ll have to sort through all the medical, character, and private visit discussions as well. Free-Agency is also looming, which will give us a clearer direction of the team needs heading into the draft process in April.
This is a current look at a Mock Draft based on how things currently stand. Prospect are beginning to establish themselves, while others still leave us wanting more. Nonethless, I hope you find this mock accurate and insightful. Check back for more NFL Draft News as I continue post new info and mocks.
*My rankings do not always match the order I have players selected in mocks because teams draft based on their boards (not mine) and because players will never be chosen by a ‘labeled’ rank – and due to other various factors, including: scheme, fit, rising/falling, connections, and forecasting.
NFL MOCK DRAFT 1.3 (7 Rounds)
**In-Depth 1st Round Analysis
***Brief 2nd Round Analysis
**** 3 PROJECTED TRADES
(I had to project trades to make mock realistic for the value of QB’s)
February 28, 2013
1. Chiefs (2-14) – Luke Joeckel, OT – Texas A&M; *Junior 6’6″ 306
An interesting note is that Andy Reid never selected an OT in the 1st Round during his tenure in Philadelphia, and only selected 5 total offensive lineman during the first 3 Rounds of the draft from 1999-2012 (OG Watkins, OT W.Justice, OG/OT S.Andrews, OG B.Williams and OG D.Brzezinski). With that said – Right now its becoming clearer that it’ll be Joeckel. Even if OT Brandon Albert is re-signed – I think Joeckel is still the best option because Albert can move to LG. QB Alex Smith is headed to Kansas City for a 2nd Round pick in this draft (and a high conditional pick next year) via a trade with San Francisco – so the No.1 overall QB talk can stop now. Smith will play under the terms of his remaining contract (an $8.5 Million base salary), but I’d expect him to be perceived as the QB moving forward so an extension is likely. This move means two things, they’ll be releasing underachieving Matt Cassel, and they’re unlikely to consider a QB in this draft (at least not with a high selection). It may be possible for Eric Fisher or Lane Johnson to make their case by April, but Joeckel has what it takes to be a LT for the next 10 years. They’re likely to lose both Glenn Dorsey (free-agent) and/or Tyson Jackson (cap issue) so even emerging defenders like Sharrif Floyd and Dion Jordan need to be mentioned.
Needs: 3/4 DEx2, No.1 WR, LT, MLBx2, CB, 3/4 OLB, RB, OG, FS, Slot-WR, OT, QB, C, FB, TE
WR Steve Breaston
TE Kevin Boss
WR Mardy Gilyard
FS Husain Abdullah
DT Daniel Muir
2. Jaguars (2-14) – DeMarcus ‘Dee’ Milliner, CB – Alabama; *Junior: 6’0″ 201
It seems like Jordan could play the OLB role in the 4/3, but I think he’s probably a better end or edge 3/4 guy – which is why I think they’ll pass on him even though they’ll likely switch between schemes. I know they need to add sacks, the addition of Jason Babin late in 2012 made that clear – but aside from Jordan, a lot of the “favorites” have fallen out of favor this early. Ziggy Ansah, Bjoern Werner, and Keke Mingo seems to be next in line this early if they go that direction. The jury still seems to be out on Milliner (upcoming shoulder surgery), but for now I think new HC Gus Bradley wants that big-CB (he came from Seattle with Sherman and Browner). I personally like Milliner because he makes plays, and his ability to tackle makes him a complete corner – I don’t see him getting past Detroit at No.5 after showing good speed at the combine. I think Joeckel is a strong candidate if he is available, as well as Fisher as an upgrade to the offensive line – but OC Jedd Fisch runs a lineman friendly zone blocking scheme so using a high pick on a lineman doesn’t seem likely (although helpful). Jacksonville hasn’t selected a DB in Round 1 since 2007 when they took Reggie Nelson with the 21st pick.
Needs: 4/3 OLBx2, RT, Big-CB, RB, 4/3 DE, QB, LG, 4/3 DT, FS, C, TE, WR, FB
3. Raiders (4-12) – Sharrif Floyd, DT/DE – Florida; *Junior: 6’3″ 297
The Raider haven’t had a 1st round selection since 2010 (Rolando McClain) and they haven’t taken a DT this high since 1997 when Darrell Russell was taken No.2 overall. Floyd is one of the hottest prospect as of late and rightfully so – he is a beast. Floyd possesses great power, use of hands, and quickness that allows him to make plays in the backfield as an interior presence. Oakland is faced with losing Richard Seymour, Desmond Bryant, Matt Shaughnessy, and Aaron Carter this offseason a a defensive lineman is a strong possibility here. Dion Jordan, Ziggy Ansah, Bjoern Werner, and Star Lotulelei are the most likely candidates – but Sheldon Richardson could work his way into consideration too. I also think it could be smart for the Raiders to consider Milliner (if available) and one of the OT’s (Joeckel, Fisher, Johnson) despite their need for a defensive lineman. I guess you can’t completely rule out a QB either, but thats extremely unlikely here – but with Carson Palmer’s contract situation the position should be addressed at some point.
Needs: CBx2, 4/3 DEx2, QB, 4/3 DT, RT, 4/3 OLBx2, OG, MLB, TE, P, RB, FS/SS, LT
TE Mickey Shuler
DB Akwasi Owusu-Ansah
4. Eagles (4-12) – Dion Jordan, DE/OLB – Oregon; Senior: 6’6″ 248
Chip Kelly’s using his Oregon connection here. The Eagles are switching to a 3/4 scheme and they not only lack a 5-technique end, they need to upgrade their entire personnel. Not only did they release Cullen Jenkins (they might even be parting ways with CB Nnamdi Asomugha) yesterday, but I think adding Jordan here will allow 2010 1st round pick Brandon Graham to play the DE spot instead of moving to an OLB in the 3/4 scheme under new DC Billy Davis. If they think Graham (or 2012 2nd Round Vinny Curry) can handle the OLB spot then Star Lotulelei could be the solution on the line. Regardless, Jordan is an option as an edge rusher for the Eagles and his recent surge up boards make it a good value pick as well – he is long and athletic with excellent speed. Philadelphia will also be tempted with Milliner, Joeckel, Fisher, Ansah – and it still wouldn’t surprise me if QB Geno Smith gained some consideration even though Michael Vick reworked his deal to presumably stay in Philly for another year. The Eagles would likely solve their need for a DE and OLB if they could add Jordan – and be able to concentrate on a NT, RT, and CB with their upcoming picks.
Needs: RT, 3/4 NT, CBx2, QB, SS, Big-WR, 3/4 DE, C, TE, 3/4 OLB, FS, P, OG
DT/DE Cullen Jenkins
DT Mike Patterson
OT Demetress Bell
QB Michael Vick (Restructured – 1 year)
QB Dennis Dixon
DE Everette Brown
OT Ed Wang
WR BJ Cunningham
OT Matt Reynolds
QB Nick Foles
5. Lions (4-12) – Ezekiel ‘Ziggy’ Ansah, DE – BYU; Senior: 6’5″ 271
While he is raw (lack of experience), he is a tremendous athlete and a very intriguing prospect. It seems as if his combine efforts will land him in the Top 10 – and Kyle Vanden Bosch is gone, and since Cliff Avril is going to be a costly UFA – Detroit seems like a likely destination. I think they may prefer Jordan – but Ansah is extremely athletic and offers them power and speed rushing the quarterback so he fits the need equally. Bjoern Werner could also receiver some consideration – and the other popular option will be Alabama’s Dee Milliner because Chris Houston, Jacob Lacey, Pat Lee, Drayton Florence are all upcoming UFA’s. I doubt Chance Warmack can work his way into contention here, and Jarvis Jones shouldn’t be forgotten either. The Lions are no stranger to 1st round defensive linemen (Fairley and Suh two of past three drafts) but they haven’t taken a DE in Round 1 (or this high) since 1992 when Robert Porcher was selected (Kalimba Edwards at No.35 overall in 2002 is next most recent).
Needs: CB, 4/3 DEx2, RG, 4/3 OLBx2, WR, FS, C, RT, K, RB, P, SS
DE Kyle Vanden Bosch
WR Titus Young
OG Stephen Peterman
WR Devin Thomas
6. Browns (5-11) – Jarvis Jones, OLB/DE – Georgia; *Junior: 6’2″ 245
Under this scenario, there are really only 3 guys (Jones, Lotulelei, and Warmack) I could see them taking and Jones is the best option despite his spinal injury concerns. Obviously not participating at the combine, leaves a lot left to be desired from Jones – so his medical check and pro day workout will ultimately determine if he’ll be a Top 10 guy or fall into the No.20-No.40 range. I think Ansah and Jordan would be easy targets for Cleveland and that Werner (maybe even Carradine if healthy) could be mentioned as well. Jones is a tough defender who is good at shedding blocks, attacks the ball with force, and getting to the quarterback (he led College Football in sacks). The Browns will need a defensive overhaul in the front-seven (they already released DE Frostee Rucker), which is why Jones makes sense as a nice edge rusher from the OLB spot in new DC Ray Horton’s 3/4 scheme opposite Jabaal Sheard. They could also stand an upgrade at OG over Jason Pinkston and/or Shawn Lauvao, but it may be slightly too early to go with Bama’s Chance Warmack with all these premium defenders available. The Browns could be players in free-agency because they have a good bit of cap space, so it’s likely Pittsburgh WR Mike Wallace is a target. New HC Rob Chudzinski (and new OC Norv Turner) are in the evaluation process of last years 1st Rounder Brandon Weeden so a QB could be an option at some point (or a trade for Ryan Mallet) if they wish to go a different direction.
Needs: 3/4 Rush-OLB, Big-CB, OG, QB, 3/4 DE, TE, RT, SS, WRx2, FS, 3/4 NT, MLB
DE Frostee Rucker
QB Brandon Weeden
Qb Coly McCoy
7. Arizona (5-11) – Eric Fisher, OT – Central Michigan; Senior: 6’7″ 306
I like the idea of Geno Smith, but I just can’t let Arizona pass on a potential LT at this point. Arizona will ultimately trade back up into Round 1 to get their QB if they pass on one here at No.7 overall or wait until the 2nd round depending on the rate in which QB’s are being selected (I think Mike Glennon is the best fit, I don’t buy their interesting in Barkley). I like Fisher (he may even make a case for No.2 or No.4 overall) because he has what it takes to be a good LT with his footwork. Levi Brown should be moved to RT or OG if they take Fisher or even Lane Johnson here – The Cardinals haven’t take an offensive lineman this high since Brown at No.5 in 2007 (and Leonard Davis before that in 2001). Also, this offseason the other area of change is their switch back into a 4/3 scheme – the move under new DC Todd Bowles will put them in the market for a true OLB-type or MLB so the status’ Jarvis Jones and Alec Ogletree will be something to keep an eye on. I think that Star Lotulelei could be a potential surprise guy if he is available even though Darnell Dockett is moving back into a more natural inside position. Any of the DE prospects would offer value opposite of Calais Campbell as well. It may also be in their interest to trade down a few spots, gain a pick or two, and still be able to trade a player to fill a need while acquiring ammo to move back up to select a QB.
Needs: QB, LT, 4/3 OLB, 4/3 DE, CB, FS, MLB, OG, 4/3 DT, C, RB, Slot-WR, SS, TE
8. Bills (6-10) – Kenny Vaccaro, FS/SS – Texas; Senior: 6’0″ 214
It’s safe to say QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will be released by March 13th so they can get out of his $3Million roster bonus and essentially move on to a new QB – Nassib (of Syracuse, where new HC Doug Marrone and new OC Nathaniel Hackett came from) is gaining ground, but he’s unlikely to be worthy of this pick. So, I’d like to mock Geno Smith here, but I think they’re set on being able to grab Ryan Nassib in the 2nd (or by trading back up into the 1st round). Ogletree is talented enough to be the pick, but his character is dropping his stock (maybe all the way into Round 2) so I went with S Kenny Vaccaro. New DC Mike Pettine (may even wrinkle the 3/4 concept in some) come from the Jets (and was with the Ravens for 7 years prior to that) so while he understands the importance of linebacker play he is also well aware of the importance of game changing safeties. I like the selection of Vaccaro for them because even if they retain UFA FS Jairus Byrd they still need a safety to replace George Wilson. Vaccaro is a Top 10 talent because of his physicality and ability to play near the line of scrimmage as a SS or defend in coverage as a FS – but I like him near the line. Obvious Ogletree will be tempting, but other likely options include WR Cordarelle Patterson or an OT if they do indeed pass on a QB here. Buffalo likes taking defensive backs early and they have a long history at doing so, Vaccaro would be the second straight DB Buffalo selected in the Top 10 (Stephon Gilmore last year – and Leodis McKelvin at No.11 in 2008, Donte Whitner in 2006) – they haven’t taken a WR in the 1st Round since 2004 (Lee Evans), a LB since 1987 (Shane Conlan), or a QB since 1983 (Jim Kelly at No.14 overall).
Needs: QBx2, Big-WR, MLB, SS, 4/3 DE, CB, TE, 4/3 OLBx2, LG, WR, FS, LT, FB
SS George Wilson
OLB Nick Barnett
CB Terrence McGee
QB Tarvaris Jackson (Restructured – 1 year)
QB Aaron Corp
9. Jets (6-10) – Barkevious ‘Keke’ Mingo, DE/OLB – LSU; *Junior: 6’4″ 241
I was tempted with Lane Johnson and Chance Warmack here, but I think they need to rebuild their defense. Calvin Pace was released this offseason, plus Bryan Thomas is an UFA so an edge-rusher may take priority over all their other holes. Mingo is a raw athlete who has exceptional speed off the edge, but does have to get better in many area’s as a pass rusher in the NFL. Mingo fits the OLB spit in their 3/4 scheme (and has show ability to be a 4/3 OLB) so he could go as high as No.5, but I could also see him fall into the mid-late part of the round. The Jets will ultimately be able to pick between him, Damontre Moore, Jarvis Jones (maybe), Bjoern Werner, or Tank Carradine if they wish to address the pass rush here. They parted ways with Bart Scott so Alec Ogletree could be a candidate of he checks out well during interviews. They currently have star-CB Darrelle Revis on the trading block – I could see them and Carolina working out a deal to swap Revis for RB DeAngelo Williams – so CB may become an even bigger concern if they lose Revis. Keep an eye on Kenny Vaccaro too since both starting safeties (Bell and Landry) are UFA’s as well. The Jets are a mess, so addressing any area is likely here. They’ll likely stick with Mark Sanchez, but they do have to add some playmakers to the offense since RB Shonn Greene and TE Dustin Keller are UFA’s (and probably gone), both starting OG’s (Slauson and Moore) are Free-Agents, and they are already weak at WR. Vols wideout Cordarrelle Patterson could emerge as a strong candidate in the coming weeks, especially if they decide to release Santonio Holmes – but the Jets have taken a defensive player in the 1st round five of the past seven drafts.
Needs: RT, 3/4 OLBx2, OGx2, No.1 WR, RB, FS, MLB, CB, TE, 3/4 DT, QB, SS, WR, FB
MLB Bart Scott
OLB/DE Calvin Pace
OT Jason Smith
S Eric Smith
TE Josh Baker
S Jaiquawn Jarrett
OT DJ Young
CB Darrelle Revis
QB Tim Tebow
10. Titans (6-10) – Star Lotulelei, DT/NT – Utah; Senior: 6’3″ 311
Loutulelei couldn’t participate at the combine due to newly raised concerns over a possible heart-condition, and I think that could cause him to fall. Obviously, between now and April that condition will be better known, but I think Tennessee is getting a steal here if he is healthy. I think Lotulelei is a potential candidate to go No.1 overall and surely be a Top 5 guy – he processes a nice combination of strength and speed that allows him to get after the quarterback, and disrupt things in the backfield as an interior presence. With that said, Sheldon Richardson is also an intriguing prospect here if Lotulelei is gone – and would fill a need with DT Sen’Derrick Marks set to become an UFA this offseason. I don’t believe they have a big need at DE like most with Derrick Morgan and Kamerion Wimbley currently holding those spot, but depth could be an issue there (certainly not drafting for depth at No.10 overall). Defensively, adding Gregg William as DC will help a unit that has talent that just underachieved. The Titans have taken an offensive player with five of their past seven 1st round picks so it may be time address the defensive – they haven’t taken a DT this high since selecting Albert Haynesworth at No.15 overall in 2002 (last took DL in 2010 with DE Derrick Morgan). George Wilson was a nice addition as well, and they still may have some interest in UFA Chris Canty. HC Mike Munchak has an offensive line background (he was an OG in the NFL) so he’ll love Warmack, but I don’t think you can’t pass on the talent of Lotulelei here. With that said, adding Warmack (or an OG early in this draft) to replace Steve Hutchinson (plus, starting RG Leroy Harris is an UFA this offseason, as well at backups Kyle DeVan and Deuce Lutui) makes so much sense to me. They’ll probably be looking to add depth and competition at multiple positions – plus they may address TE later on too since Jared Cook is an UFA (they could franchise tag him) although Taylor Thompson could be a sleeper in-waiting.
Needs: 4/3 DT, OGx2, TE, RB, 4/3 DE, C, QB, MLBx2, SS, OT, FS, CB, WR, FB
SS George Wilson (Bills – 2 years)
WR Roberto Wallace
DE/OLB Thaddeus Gibson
QB Nate Enderle
11. Chargers (7-9) – Chance Warmack, OG – Alabama; Senior: 6’2″ 317
I think it’ll be Warmack over Lane Johnson here, if Warmack is available. Lane Johnson isn’t a bad option either though. Warmack is taking some heat on his ‘mental game’ of late, but he is still an incredible player at guard. While interior lineman rarely get selected this high, Warmack is a rare case because of his strength, size, and footwork – he’ll be a dominate force that’ll help protect Rivers. Their offensive line has been a mess since last year when they lost Deilman and McNeil and those issue continue on the interior since both starting OG’s (Tyronne Green and Louis Vasquez) are UFA’s so Warmack especially will be in play (and Jonathan Cooper would be mentioned as well). Jared Gaither got paid last offseason (and injured) and should be around (if healthy), but they need an upgrade over Jeromey Clary and Mike Harris so Fisher, L.Johnson, and Fluker will all be considered too. Upgrading the line should help QB Philip Rivers (and hopefully their whole offense), but I don’t even think he is too safe with a new regime in place (GM Tom Telesco, HC Mike McCoy, OC Ken Whisenhunt, QB Coach Frank Reich). The other big concern talked about is CB since both starter (Cason, Jammer) are UFA’s however with Gilchrist and Wright on the roster that isn’t as weak as some think in my opinion, plus they claim J.Patrick for depth. I think other areas of need are: RB is a concern with Ryan Mathews’ fumbles and injuries, the front-four with Aubrayo Franklin and Vaughn Martin set to become UFA’s, a SS to upgrade Atari Bigby’s spot (2012 pick Brandon Taylor tore his ACL in December too), and an ILB to eventually replace Takeo Spikes is a possibility. Last years picks Melvin Ingram and Kendall Reyes should assume a larger role – but defenders like Milliner, Werner, Ogletree, Mingo, Richardson, and Kenny Vaccaro are all options too. San Diego hasn’t selected and offensive in the 1st round since Jim Lachey at pick No.12 in 1985.
Needs: LT, OGx2, 3/4 DT, CBx2, RBx2, QB, No.1 WR, TE, OT, 3/4 OLB, SS, MLB, C
CB Johnny Patrick
12. Dolphins (7-9) – Lane Johnson, OT – Oklahoma; Senior: 6’6″ 303
Obviously, this has a lot to do with the status of UFA LT Jake Long. Long is demanding high dollar this offseason, and while Miami has the free cap space to sign him (and be a major player in free-agency) I still have to go with the emerging Johnson here for now. I wouldn’t be surprised if Johnson ends up being a Top 5 pick (maybe even mentioned as a No.1 overall candidate) after a great showing at the combine – Johnson has all the tools you look for in a LT, including long arms and good feet. If Fisher and Johnson are gone they could reach for Fluker, but they could consider a top defensive prospect as well. The Dolphins are loaded with cap space, and early draft picks so they could be active in improving their teams – including possibly moving up for Joeckel, Fisher, or Johnson if need be. I think that Cordarrelle Patterson would also be a nice addition, but I’m having a hard time projecting the JUCO transfer to them because I expect them to aggressive towards top tier WR’s like Greg Jennings (HC Joe Philbin may be able to lure him from Green Bay) and Mike Wallace. I like the idea of Vaccaro for them because he’ll give new DC Kevin Coyle a playmaker. They could target a trade for RB DeAngelo Williams – it seems as though Reggie Bush is done is Miami and thus they’ll be looking for a new RB (maybe they tangle a 2nd or/3rd rounder to Carolina or him), TE needs addressed (maybe they make deal for GB’s Jermichael Finley), CB needs more consistent play, and they need to address the DT position since Randy Starks and Tony McDaniel are both UFA’s. Speaking of CB’s, it could become a bigger issue if UFA Sean Smith thinks he’s getting paid $10Million a season. If they keep Long and don’t want to pick Johnson to play RT, then aside from Patterson and Vaccaro – they could target Werner, Richardson, or Carradine. Miami has use early picks on offensive lineman pretty frequently lately – Jonathan Martin 2nd round in 2012, Mike Pouncey 1st round in 2011, John Jerry 3rd round in 2010, and Jake Long No.1 in 2008.
Needs: No.1 WR, LT, FS, No.1 RB, 4/3 DT, CB, 4/3/ DE, RT, OG, 4/3 OLB, WRx2, C, MLB, TE
WR Jeff Fuller
13. Tampa Bay (7-9) – Sheldon Richardson, DT/DE – Missouri; *Junior: 6’3″ 294
Tampa Bay is no stranger to selecting defensive line help early, which I guess means that haven’t had much luck since they’re draft another one. Richardson is a guy I like, and could see going as high as No.3 or No.4 overall – he is credibly agile, can makes plays all over the field, has good instincts, and great quickness from an inside rushers. 2010 No.3 overall pick Gerald McCoy has been good, but 2010 2nd rounder Brian Price is gone, as well as 2009 3rd rounder Roy Miller – so they need another DT to pair with McCoy. If they lose UFA DE Michael Bennett a rusher becomes a bigger concern, but Richardson is able to offer that type of pressure from an inside position too. They still have 2011 1st and 2nd round picks Adrian Clayborn and Da’Quan Bowers at ends, but if they lose Bennett – I could see Werner, Carradine or maybe even D.Moore tempting them as well. They could fill the DT need with the 6’3″ 280lb. Clayborn and select the best DE available regardless of whether they lose Bennett or not. I would personally be a bigger fan of the Buccaneers addressing the OT spot with Fisher, Lane Johnson, or DJ Fluker – but it looks like the first two have pushed themselves too high for Tampa’s spot and Fluker would only make sense if they traded down a few spots. I know they could also use a FS but even if Vaccaro is available I find it hard to believe they’d go safety for the second straight year this high. The CB spot is also one of need since EJ Biggers is an UFA and ERic Wright could be released. Tampa Bay has some money to spend this offseason, which they’re talking about using on their own free-agents – buts its a situation to keep an eye on after there 2012 spending spree. The other interesting idea to monitor is the status of QB Josh Freeman (who is set to become a UFA in 2014). HC Greg Schiano may be looking for a young QB early in this draft, although I can’t see them reach for anyone here at No.13 at this point. They’re likely to make a play for TE Martellus Bennett in hopes of keeping his brother Michael (and because he’d be helpful) in town, both are UFA’s. It’s worth noting that Xavier Rhodes may have pushed himself up be a potential candidate as a CB/FS option here after a good showing at the combine.
Needs: 4/3 DT, FS, CBx2, RT, 4/3 DE, Slot-WR, QB, 4/3 OLB, MLB, TE, OG, WR
P Chas Henry
14. Carolina (7-9) – Cordarrelle Patterson, WR – Tennessee; *Junior: 6’2″ 216
I know word is they’re going to make a play for Mike Wallace, but if they miss on him – I definitely think Patterson is a good fit. Im not saying they wouldn’t take Patterson even with a free-agent addition at wideout, but it’d be less likely. I have a hard time valuing WR’s in the Top 20 unless they have “can’t miss” ability. Well, I like Patterson, and even think he could go as high as No.8 overall – but the jury is still out on him even though he’s a naturally gifted athlete. He bounced around for a few years and eventually burst onto the scene at Tennessee last year as the top ranked JUCO transfer. I think he has all the potential to be a No.1 wideout (and a “cant miss” receiver) with his strong hands, ability to stretch the field, and height – but he is raw as a route runner. Carolina is considering releasing DT Ron Edwards, DT Dwan Edwards is an UFA, and on top of that they need better play upfront so I think they could prefer a guy like Richardson still be available. The Panthers may have to part with veterans MLB Jon Beason and CB Chris Gamble due to finances this offseason creating even more voids. If Gamble is released the need for a CB grows because Captain Munnerlyn is an UFA as well – I don’t think they’re in position to move up for Milliner, but Xavier Rhodes seems to have made himself worthy. Carolina could also choose to upgrade the RT over Byron Bell with DJ Fluker (or may take on of the Top 3 OT’s if one should be available). Mike Shula is taking over as OC and I’d suspect that HC Ron Rivera knows he is on a short leash this coming season so while they don’t have many upcoming free-agent, they get to get more out of the players they do have. Patterson could take over No.1 wideout responsibilities from Steve Smith (a 2001 3rd round find), but they haven’t taken a WR in the 1st round since the disasters pick of Rae Carruth in 1997.
Needs: CBx2, No.1 WR, 4/3 DTx2, RT, 4/3 OLB, OG, FS, MLB, TE, WR, SS, 4/3 DE
RB DeAngelo Williams
15. Saints (7-9) – Bjoern Werner, DE – Florida State; *Junior: 6’3″ 266
Werner was once considered a lock for a Top 10 selection, but the combine exposed some ‘stiffness’ is his abilities – and that could cause him to slide down boards some. Don’t get me wrong, I think he could be a Top 5 guy by the time April comes – but he offers better value for a team selecting in the No.12 to No.25 range. I know the Saints are transitioning into a 3/4scheme under new DC Rob Ryan, but I like Werner because he is a smart player who can not only rush the quarterback, but guard against the run. The Saints need to add edge rushers because they have no one currently on the roster to fill the 3/4 OLB spots, and its unlikely Werner would be expect to fill that role – but they still are in need of a 3/4 DE opposite 2011 1st rounder Cameron Jordan. They still have Will Smith, but he could be cut – and Im not sure he’s the answer at DE or OLB for them. Obviously, any of the available rushers at the spot would be in play (Carradine, D.Moore, Datone Jones most notably) – but I think they’d prefer Keke Mingo slide this far. I’d expect they could make a play for Dallas’ Anthony Spencer (who excelled under Ryan last season) this offseason as well. They could be faced with a tough decision between an edge rusher and a true 3/4 NT like Johnathan Hankins (or Jesse Williams) with this selection as well. I think they’ll ultimately decide between a pass-rusher or big body in the middle here, but other option could be Kenny Vaccaro to improve the secondary. Also, I’d assume they can retain LT Jermon Bushrod this offseason, but if not (or if they look to upgrade the RT spot) then an OT could be in play here as well. The Saints seem to always find WR’s to fit their system, but I’d expect them make an effort to add a playmaking wideout at some point. New Orleans has picked a defensive player with their first pick (not necessarily a 1st rounder) the past five drafts. Sean Payton is back, and that may be the biggest addition headed into 2013
Needs: 3/4 Rush-OLBx2, 3/4 NT, SS, 3/4 DE, LT, CB, FS, WR, RT, MLB, OG, C, TE
TE David Thomas
CB Johnny Patrick (Chargers)
G/C Eric Olsen (Re-Signed)
WR Preston Parker
CB Ryan Steed
16. Rams (7-8-1) – Alec Ogletree, MLB/OLB – Georgia; *Junior 6’2″ 242
Im an Ogletree fan, but it’s hard to get a gage on where teams are valuing him. I think he is talented enough to be a Top 10 selection (as high as No. 8 to Buffalo), but it seems like he could slip as far as the 2nd round due to growing concerns about his maturity. He fills a huge need as an OLB in their 4/3 scheme with his versatility (to play MLB as well), ability to make plays in the backfield, and pursuit of the ball. Another issue included improving the safety position (Craig Dahl is an UFA and Quintin Mikell could be released) so they’d love to see Kenny Vaccaro here. Also, at one point this seemed like a spot to grab an OT, but the Top 3 will be gone – although they could choose to settle on DJ Dluker here (or at No.22) to take over the RT spot of UFA Barry Richardson. I honestly believe securing the offensive line is key in the development of QB Sam Bradford, and they’ll likely need a new RT, C (Scott Wells may be released), and LG (Robert Turner is an UFA) this offseason. This is also a likely landing spot for WR Cordarrelle Patterson should he be available St.Louis needs a threat like Patterson with Brandon Gibson, Danny Amendola, and Steve Smith set to become UFA’s, but they could also consider a wideout at No.22. In fact, the Rams have many issues to address – most notably the status of RB Steven Jackson. Jackson voided his contract and will become an UFA (even if they somehow keep him, he is getting older) so they’ll be in the market for a lead tailback and use Pead and Richardson as compliments. I think Lacy would be a fit, but its too early for him I’d suspect. Honestly, it was hard to find value for them with anyone other than Ogletree, despite his concerns – so maybe they’ll look at trading down. They’ve taken a defensive prospects with their 1st rounder in five of the past seven drafts. They have key pieces in place, but I think they were overachievers in a strengthening division last season.
Needs: No.1 WR, FS, RT, 4/3 OLBx2, SS, OG, RBx2, C, TE, LT, 4/3 DT/DE, QB, MLB
17. Steelers (8-8) – Jesse Williams, DT/NT – Alabama; Senior: 6’3″ 323
I think it’ll be popular to see to Werner, Jarvis Jones, Ogletree, Damontre Moore, or even Te’o mocked here, but I think Williams (or Hankins) would be a better pick with NT Casey Hampton (pick No.19 overall in 2001) set to become an UFA. Personally, I don’t think Pittsburgh can go wrong with whomever they select because they have so many area’s of need. Williams is a tough nosed player who will take on blockers and free up their rushers, and anchor the middle of the defense. I know that Georgia’s Johnathan Hankins can be that anchor too (and may be a better over prospect), but I just like the fit with Williams and the Steelers. Mendenhall has worn out his welcome and I just don’t see RFA’s Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman being the threat they need behind Big Ben. They may opt to reach for Eddie Lacy here (or address the tailback position in free-agency ) – but for now I think a defensive player offers more value. Their offensive line isn’t horrible (and could be switching to a zone scheme also) when healthy (enter DeCastro and M.Adams), but it’ll need depth (or try to retain LT Max Starks). They also have a dilemma with UFA WR Mike Wallace this offseason. I can’t see them paying Wallace (especially since Antonio Brown got $40Million last offseason) so receiver becomes an even more immediate problem. The Steelers are likely to have to part ways with veteran OLB James Harrison (and even S Troy Polamalu) due to salary cap issues and defensively have ILB Larry Foote and CB Keenan Lewis set to become UFA’s. Pittsburgh is already over the projected cap number, which means a lot of key players lost. So, they could go any number of way – probably selecting the best player available on their board. Geno Smith could be an interesting idea to consider as insurance (and a backup) for Big Ben since he is frequently injured and not going to play forever. They’ve taken a defensive linemen two of the past four drafts in the 1st round, but they’re not totally against offensive skills guys this early either – having used 1st rounder on RB Mendenhall in 08′, WR Holmes in 06′, TE Miller in 05′, Roethlisberger in 04′, WR Burress in 00′, and WR Edwards in 99′.
Needs: RB, 3/4 NT, MLB, WR, FS, LT, CB, TE, 3/4 OLB, SS, OG, QB
RB/KR Chris Rainey
LB Brian Rolle
CB Justin King
WR Kashif Moore
18. Dallas (8-8) – Tavon Austin, WR/RB/KR – WVU; Senior: 5’9″ 174
I know Austin was a combine standout, but I loved him prior to that – and think he’s a solid 1st rounder despite questions regarding how he’ll effectively be used. He adds a big dynamic to their offense with his speed and the mismatches he’d create because Dallas not only could use a backup RB (Felix Jones is an UFA), but a quality slot receiver. Imagine this: Murray in the backfield, Witten down the seam, Dez stretching the field, Miles Austin handling the middle – and Tavon Austin flying around on underneath routes and out of the backfield. I know Dallas has some other more pressing area’s to address, but Wow. I think the availability of Sheldon Richardson, Chance Warmack, and Kenny Vaccaro would be the only real value Dallas should consider over Austin. Monte Kiffin is the new DC and imposing a return to the 4/3 scheme so they’ll likely be in the market for a DE opposite of DeMarcus Ware and a SOLB to replace key UFA is DE/OLB Anthony Spencer (who is likely to leave due to money and his role in the new 4/3). Defensive tackle seems like an issue on the surface, but they have high hopes for Jason Hatcher (plus Brian Price could have some potential) in the new scheme, but the potential release of Jay Ratliff could raise concern at the position (or at mimimim they’ll need depth). They’re in a bit of a financial jam witht he salary cap, but they’re hoping top extend to contract of Tony Romo to help. The offensive line is the other issue since they’d likely discuss upgrading her – they’ve discussed moving RT Doug Free ($7Million base salary in 2013) to a OG position so Im not sure if Warmack or Cooper are an option here in that case. They also could release RT Doug Free (if they don’t move him to OG) that would make DJ Fluker an option here. Sean Lee and Bruce Carter are solid backers, but they’ll likely need a strong-side starter and look to add OLB depth. Even though Mike Jenkins is an UFA, they should be fine at CB. I think the clock is ticking in Dallas – for HC Jason Garrett and QB Tony Romo – so the pressure to succeed is on (if it wasn’t already). I wouldn’t even rule out a QB here (or early on in this draft) – and Austin’s WVU teammate Geno Smith could be a likely target (Smith may remind Jerry Jones of Quincy Carter, whom he was enamored with back in 2001).
Needs: FS, RT, 4/3 DE, 4/3 DT, RB, OG, Slot-WR, 4/3 OLB, C, QB, TE, MLB, CB
DT Brian Price
WR Anthony Armstrong
WR Danny Coale
S Brandon Underwood
OLB Cameron Sheffield
DT Nick Hayden
WR Carlton Mitchell
19. Giants (9-7) – DJ Fluker, OT/OG – Alabama; *Junior: 6’5″ 339
I originally valued Fluker as a Top 10 prospect prior to the 2012 NCAA season, and while he lost a little steam – he is once again regaining some ground. I think it’s unlikely he’ll challenge Fisher or Johnson at this point, but he should be a solid 1st round selection as the 4th OT in the class (although M.Watson and OG/OT Kyle Long aren’t far behind). He is monstrous and exhibits a great skill set for the NFL level – and could transition to an OG spot if needed. Obviously Jon Cooper will get considered and I wouldn’t completely underestimate the rising value of Oregon’s Kyle Long in this spot – but the Giants haven’t taken an offensive line in the 1st round since 1999 when Notre Dames Luke Petitgout was the pick at No.19 (oddly enough). New York has already started releasing key contributors – and their offensive line is in shambles. The left-side of the line has two starters set to be UFA’s (LT Will Beatty and LG Kevin Boothe), starting RT David Diehl isn’t effective anymore, reserve OT sean Locklear is an UFA, RG Chris Snee is coming off an injury, and C David Baas is getting older. Thats why I think it makes the most sense to take the best offensive lineman with this pick. There are other concerns for the Giants as well – upgrading the MLB spot over Chase Blackburn, getting better CB play (Corey Webster will probably be released), a new WOLB with the recent release of Boley (and Keith Rivers an UFA), more offensive line help, possibly a new TE if they lose UFA Martellus Bennett, and even more offensive line help. It’s also worth noting that RFA WR Victor Cruz and the Giants seem far apart on a new deal – and the fact they have to pay Hakeem Nicks next offseason make its even more intriguing. The Giants drafted David Wilson last season, but I’ll be interested to see what veteran they bring in now that they’ve released Bradshaw. Its a strong defensive line group, so I also wouldn’t rule out New York looking for help in that area with Canty gone, and Osi Umenyiora headed out of town as an UFA.
Needs: LT, CB, 4/3 WOLB, MLBx2, TE, OGx2, RT, 4/3 DE, FS, C, WR, 4/3 DT, SS, RB
RB Ahmad Bradshaw
DT/DE Chris Canty
OLB Michael Boley
DT Shaun Rogers (Re-Signed)
TE Bear Pascoe (re-Signed)
OT Levy Adcock
K David Buehler
20. Bears (10-6) – Tyler Eifert, TE – Notre Dame; *Junior: 6’6″ 250
Jonathan Cooper is a popular selection for their offensive line issues with this pick, but I think they need a weapon like this guy for Cutler. Eifert proved himself worthy of a 1st round selection at the combine (if there was any doubt prior) with his WR-like abilities. The Bears did take a TE in the 1st round not too long ago, Greg Olsen was taken No.31 overall in 2007. I ultimately went with Eifert because he has great hands, attacks the ball at its highest point, can stretch the field and line up out wide to create mismatches – he needs to become a better blocker however. I could also see Te’o and Minter (or Ogletree if available) getting a lot of consideration here considering the status of MLB Brian Urlacher. An offensive lineman, like Cooper, isn’t out of the question either because it’d offers Chicago immediate help since OG’s Lance Louis, Chris Spencer, and Chilo Rachal are UFA’s this offseason. They drafted Gabe Carimi in 2011, but they’re still having issues so they need be to get the offensive line back in order. DT Henry Melton chose a great season to breakout considering he’ll be an UFA, and if they can’t afford him ( although, it’s likely they tag him) then need to look elsewhere for help. The Bears will certainly need to address the linebacking unit with before mentioned Urlacher considering retirement (and having battled injuries) and because SOLB Nick Roach is also an UFA. They could also stand to upgrade the FS spot and add depth at CB with Jennings and Tillman set to be Free-Agents in 2014. Also, I’d look for new HC Marc Trestman to considering adding playmakers offensively – starting with the best TE in the class.
Needs: OGx2, TE, LT, MLB, CB, C, 4/3 SOLB, FS, WR, 4/3 DT, 4/3 DE, RB
S Chris Harris (Retired)
WR Terrence Toliver
TE Brody Eldridge
21. Bengals (10-7) – Matt Elam, SS – Florida; *Junior: 5’10″ 208
This could be the area where teams start trying to trade back up into the 1st round for players (mainly QB’s I’d suspect) that they covet. They’ll be looking to replace Maualuga and allow Vontaze Burfict to stay on the weak-side, so names like Kevin Minter and Manti Te’o make sense here as well. I went with Elam, even though it seems a little early for him, because he is a nice fit for Cincinnati. Elam was the number one high school recruit from the state in 2009, and on top of that he is a complete safety – he can coverage a lot of ground on the field, hits hard, and seems to be an intelligent player. I also think Xavier Rhodes could be consider if they take a defensive back, he really helped himself with a great performance at the combine. The defense is where they have the most glaring concerns because of all the starters set to become UFA’s: DE Michael Johnson, DE Robert Geathers, OLB Manny Lawson, MLB Rey Maualuga, CB Nate Clements, and SS Chris Crocker (and other key reserves: CB Terence Newman, CB Pacman Jones, OLB Thomas Howard, DT Pat Sims and MLB Dan Skuta). Free-agency will play a huge factor on their draft needs. Perhaps their key UFA is OT Andre Smith. The offensive line is horrible, but losing Smith would surely be cause a blow that needs quick attention. Also, the Law Firm isn’t a free-agent until 2015, but I think they’ll add a RB with one of their first 3 selections so keep an eye on Eddie Lacy if he is available. The do have two 2nd rounders, so they could consider a package to move up if there is one particular player they covet. Taking DB’s in Round 1 isn’t something Cincy shy’s away from – having taken CB D.Kirkpatrick last season, CB Leon Hall in 2007, and CB Jonathan Joseph in 2006. They haven’t draft a safety in the 1st round since Rickey Dixon in 1988 (Madieu Williams is the next highest recent safety selection as a 2004 2nd rounder).
Needs: RB, SS, 4/3 DE, 4/3 WOLB, CB, MLB, RT, QB, OG, 4/3 DT, WR, C, FS
OLB/DE Aaron Maybin
22. Rams (Redskins 10-7) – Jonathan Cooper, OG – UNC; Senior: 6’2″ 311
Landing Cooper at this point would be great for the Rams – I could see teams considering Cooper starting as high as No.11 overall. Cooper is often considered a Top 10 talent, but like Warmack his position will cause him to fall lower than his talent level. Cooper has been a reliable and durable player since starting his college career (as a starter) in 2009 as a redshirt-freshman – he is ready to step right in on the NFL level and play at an elite level. As I mentioned earlier, they’re possibly in the market for a new RT, C (Scott Wells may be released), and LG (Robert Turner is an UFA) this offseason so if Cooper is gone they’d consider Fluker, Menelik Watson, and Kyle Long here. Depending on what happens at No.16, it’ll ultimately reflect the direction they go here based on need. Obviously if they don’t take a WR at No.16 then one would be in play here, but Im not sure how they view their wideout situation. Brian Quick seems to be a player they value, Chris Givens has shown promise – so Im not sure if they don’t need to address the WR area through a veteran free-agent (or retaining their own). This could also be a spot for them to move down with a team trying to trade back up into the first to obtain more future picks – or they could consider players a safety like Matt Elam or Eric Reid. I think this could also be a spot for them to target RB Eddie Lacy if his value warrants so – although they haven’t used a first round pick on a RB since 2004 when Steven Jackson went No.24 overall.
Needs: No.1 WR, FS, RT, 4/3 OLBx2, SS, OG, RBx2, C, TE, LT, 4/3 DT/DE, QB, MLB
*PROJECTED TRADE* WR Darius Heyward-Bey, MLB Rolando McClain, No.66 (3rd), No.161 (6th) and a 2014 2nd Rounder To Minnesota Vikings for No.23 (1st) and No.213 (7th), 2014 Conditional 6th Rounder (on Heyward-Bey performance that could become 5th Rounder)
23. * Raiders FROM Vikings (10-7) – Geno Smith, QB – WVU; Senior: 6’2″ 218
The Raiders don’t view Carson Palmer as a long term answer, and actually want to let Terrelle Pryor get on the field in front of him at times. The fact that Smith didn’t land in the Top 10 (or 20) actually makes him valuable at this point – and it could allow Oakland to release Palmer. The more realistic option is reducing Palmers salary, letting him serve as a mentor to Smith for a season, while also letting Pryor gain value by playing a more involved role next season (similar to what Smith will offer them in the future). I see them letting Smith learn as a reserve, grooming him as the QB of 2014 – and hopefully parting ways with Palmer and letting Pryor serve as Smith’ backup thereafter. It does seem like a steep cost for a QB who isn’t necessarily considered ‘that franchise guy’, but The Raiders have no need for McClain (and will likely release him out-right) – and DHB doesn’t give them anything that Rod Streater or Juron Criner can’t. It’s hard to project trades, but I actually think this one makes sense. I think Smith is going to be a better pro than people expect – he has a quality arm and good accuracy in a nice athletic frame. He could go No.1, but more likely in the Top 10 – but the ideal situation is one similar to this where he can come in with time to learn and develop. Philadelphia could be another team that is interested in Geno Smith, but I’d expect teams to jump on Smith’s value if he falls outside of the Top 20. They’ll be left without a pick until Round 4, down a WR, down a once highly decorate MLB – but I think the Raiders could be better off in the process of the scenario.
Needs: CBx2, 4/3 DEx2, QB, 4/3 DT, RT, 4/3 OLBx2, OG, MLB, TE, P, RB, FS/SS, LT
*Minnesota would do this because other than Kevin Minter, maybe Manti Te’o, reaching a bit for Quinton Patton, or considering Kyle Long – they really don’t have that ‘can’t miss’ player sitting there. Sylvester Williams could be an option, maybe even Keenan Allen – but getting Heyward-Bey and taking a chance on McClain could be just as valuable as whomever they pick. Heyward-Bey isn’t the greatest, but he can stretch the field, and McClain could return to form as a dominate MLB in a new environment – plus, adding the extra picks is nice as well.
With the Percy Harvin issue (they’ll likely dangling him in a trade), Michael Jenkins likely to be cut, and Jerome Simpson and Devin Aromashodu both UFA’s it’s hard to pass on a WR prospect. I could see them making a strong play for UFA Mike Wallace or another free-agent wideouts, but they’ll likely still consider a young wideout early in this draft. A DT since their defensive front isn’t getting any younger is an early possibility as well. SOLB Chad Greenway is a stud, but the other two spot need to be addressed this offseason since Jasper Brinkley, Erin Henderson, and Marvin Mitchell are all UFA’s. The MLB spot (Brinkley) is the main spot that needs addressed so Te’o or even Kevin Minter will be in play (remember ex-49ers coach Mike Singletary is their linebacker coach). FS is the other main area of need (Jamarca Sanford is a UFA and Mistral Raymond just isn’t good enough), but they’re should be an attractive destination for free-agents so that’s a void they may fill that way. I’d also look for them to add OG help, a veteran QB, and a compliment to AP. The Vikings haven’t shied away from using early picks on offensive player – having selecting nine offensive player, compared to 6 defensive, in the 1st or 2nd round of draft since 2005. Minnesota has a little history of trading away (or down) in the 1st round – in 2012 they went from No.3 to No.4, traded away picks (included 2008 1st rounder) for Jared Allen, and made a move down with Miami in 2004.
Needs: No.1 WR, MLB, FS, OG, 4/3 DT, 4/3 WOLB, RT, WR, RB, CB, 4/3 DE, QB, FB
TE Chase Ford
WR Percy Harvin
24. Colts (11-6) – Damontre Moore, DE/OLB – Texas A&M; *Junior: 6’5″ 250
Moore has fallen pretty far in the eyes of most scouts. Im not sure he’ll quite last this long, but he had a poor combine – on top of previous questions regarding maturity. Moore certainly looks the part, is athletic, and has a lot of upside – so it’d hard to see him falling this far. I don’t know if Moore is the best fit scheme scheme wise because he may not offer much more than Jerry Hughes (even though he hasn’t shown much either) as an OLB in the 3/4 and isn’t ‘heavy’ enough to play the 5-technique end. I could see Carradine, D.Jones, or even Hunt being more attractive fits to play a 3/4 DE spot. They are also in the market for a stud NT so Johnathan Hankins is a guy to keep an eye on. The Colts are still getting their personnel right in the 3/4 under DC Greg Manusky, but I could see the value in selecting Hankins – but they also need upgrades all along the front-seven. They didn’t really have that true nose presence last season and now Antonio Johnson and Fili Moala are UFA’s. If they think Brandon McKinney or Josh Chapman offer enough in that spot they could choose to address an edge rusher with this pick. I think that protect Andrew Luck is an area that needs multiple players and I could see the versatility of Barrett Jones making sense, even though he’d be a reach. New OC Pep Hamilton will be looking to upgrade the OG spots and find a RT to take over for UFA Winston Justice. So, DJ Fluker, Kyle Long, B.Jones and Menelik Watson would be the only guys to consider here – maybe they make a move up for Cooper though. Many will suggest that CB is a concern that needs addressed here (Jerraud Powers and Darius Butler are UFA’s), but I think they can pass on Xavier Rhodes and fill that need later. Also, we now know that they won’t retain Colt Dwight Freeney (who is an UFA) because of his OLB role in the 3/4 compared to his fit as DE in a 4/3 scheme – making the pick of Moore even more sensible. They’ve had a tendency to take offensive players in the 1st round as of late, their last two defensive lineman taken with 1st round picks are the before mentioned Jerry Hughes (2010) and Dwight Freeney (2002).
Needs: 3/4 NT, 3/4 OLBx2, OGx2, CB, C, RT, 3/4 DEx2, OT, RB, SS, WR, MLB, FS
QB Chandler Harnish
25. Seattle (12-6) – Cornellius ‘Tank’ Carradine, DE – Florida State; Senior: 6’4″ 276
This is a little low for Carradine (although he does have injury concerns, torn ACL in Novemeber 2012), but other talent may end up pushing him further down the board than expected. He can land in the early half of the 1st round (if healthy), but getting him in the mid-to-late 1st is good value. Carradine is a Top 10 talent who emerged from the bench at FSU after arriving from a JUCO. He is good against the run, fights off blocks, is good in the open field, has long arms and good strength – but still needs to become a more polished player. I guess when HC Pete Carroll insist that the DE spot needs addressed he’s going to address it. If not Carradine other options would include Datone Jones, Margus Hunt, and Sam Montgomery at this point. I could also see the Seahawks looking for WR like Patton, Allen, or Hopkins, but I don’t think it’s a need to spend a 1st round pick on. Seattle also needs to consider spending an early pick on an upgrade at RT over Breno Giacomini since they’ve settle on 2011 pick James Carpenter as an OG. Addressing the defensive line with this pick is a good idea because not only do they need to get more sacks, but DT Alan Branch and DE Jason Jones are set to become UFA’s in March (and Chris Clemon’s tore his ACL this past January). I think they’d like to see more out of 2012 1st Rounder Bruce Irvin, but he’ll probably remain a situational rusher. They will also consider a 4/3 WOLB to secure that unit, and may look for depth at TE later on in the draft. Three of the past five years a first round picks in Seattle have been spent on a pass rushers – Irvin in 2012, Aaron Curry in 2009, and Lawrence Jackson in 2008.
Needs: RT, No.1 WR, 4/3 DE, 4/3 WOLB, TE, 4/3 DT, OG, MLBx2, CB
CB/KR Will Blackmon
LB Korey Toomer
QB Matt Flynn
* PROJECTED TRADE* No.38 (2nd), and No.69 (3th) To Green Bay Packers for No.26 (1st) and No.152 (5th)
26. * Arizona FROM Packers (12-6) – Mike Glennon, QB – NC State; Senior: 6’7″ 225
Im not sure how they value Kevin Kolb (he is due a $9Million base salary plus a $2Million roster bonus on March 15th so he’ll likely be released prior to that date or he’ll be on the books for each season after 2013 until 2017 for $10Million per), but I’d expect them to draft a QB in one of the first three rounds of this draft. I know it’s been rumored that they may target UFA Drew Stanton (who was with Arians in Indy), but I can’t see him being the answer long-term. Here, they’re able to move back up at an extremely reasonable cost (although they wouldn’t pick again until the 4th round) for a quarterback of the future. I have them targeting Glennon over Smith, Barkley, Nassib, Wilson because of his big arm, physical stature, and fit with Arians style of play. New HC Bruce Arians will undoubtably be interested in the Wolfpack gun-slinger (so much they could decide to grab him at No.7 overall) since he can make all the throws, has good a good deep ball, and overall good mechanics. If Arizona is able to land the stellar LT at No.7, and still land a top signal-caller then I think they’ll surely feel confident with the draft regardless of what picks they have to trade away to do so. If they make a move like this they could decide on Matt Barkley here, but I’m going with Glennon – they last took a QB in 2006 with USC’s Matt Leinart at No.10 overall (that didn’t work out so well).
Needs: QB, LT, 4/3 OLB, 4/3 DE, CB, FS, MLB, OG, 4/3 DT, C, RB, Slot-WR, SS, TE
*Packers would do this because there isn’t much difference on the prospect they could take here or at No.38 – plus they could add a RB Beanie Wells or WR Early Doucet to the deal I’d suspect. I think they would just as happier getting WR Early Doucet instead of Wells in a deal as well, but Wells could be a potential solution at RB – Green Bay would have to take on Wells’ $1.4Million base salary for 2013, and then he becomes an UFA in 2014. The Packers would likely target Eddie Lacy, Barrett Jones, Menelik Watson, Kevin Minter, Manti Te’o, or Eric Reid if they keep the pick – so why not swap a 5th for a 3rd and probably still get a player you want at No.38 in the process.
Donald Driver has announced his retirement as well, and I think it’ll be tough to keep UFA Greg Jennings in town. Jones is a free-agent after 2013 and Cobb and Nelson will be after the 2014 season so I’d expect them to consider a young wideout at some point. They’ll likely part ways with TE Jermichael Finley because he is due a $3.5Million roster bonus in March on top of his $4.45Million base salary so either Eifert or Ertz would make a lot of sense. Also, I don’t think Starks nor Green are the answer at RB so they’ll be looking for a new tailback early on in this draft – and it could be Eddie Lacy here if he is available. Buluga could move from RT to LT with Sherrod coming back from injury (leaving Newhouse on the pine), but they’ll certainly look for an alternative option for insurance – and Jeff Saturday is retiring. Defensively, Charles Woodson is gone, but they aren’t too bad off and would mainly be looking for depth at S, LB, and NT should they choose to go that direction. Green Bay has taken either an offensive or defensive line with their 1st round pick dating back to 2007. I think Barrett Jones would be a nice option if they keep the pick, but they can still grab him at No.38 if they see his value as worthy of that high a selection.
Needs: RB, RT, WR, C, FS, MLBx2, 3/4 DE, TE, 3/4 OLB, OG, QB, 3/4 DT, CB, SS
S/CB Charles Woodson
C Jeff Saturday (Retired)
WR Donald Driver (Retired)
QB B.J. Coleman
OT Andrew Datko
TE Jermichael Finley
27. Texans (13-5) – Johnathan Hankins, DT/NT – Ohio State; *Junior: 6’3″ 320
Hankins was once consider a Top 10 pick (he may have Top 10 talent), so landing him this late in the round is good value for the Texans. NT is an issue because Shaun Cody is an UFA this offseason and they already could have stood to get that big bodies plugger in middle of DC Wade Phillips’ 3/4 scheme. Hankins is that big body that frees up other players by demanding double teams and defends the run, although he isn’t going to make too many plays in the backfield. I also could have easily mock a WR or TE (Ertz, Patton, Allen) here, but I think a defensive line presence like Hankins, Jesse Williams, Sylvester Williams, or even Johnathan Jenkins is going to be valuable to the success of their defensive unit. If they were able to get Eifert (or decide on Ertz here) it’d make a lot of sense because Owen Daniels (who is signed thru 2014) is going to 31 years old mid season. It’s hard to believe, but Andre Johnson is nearly 32 years old – so a receiver opposite him (and for the future is highly likely). Houston may be able to attract a free-agent wideout, but Patton, Allen, or Hopkins are likely candidates here as well. The Texans have some important UFA’s to re-sign and if they miss they’ll be left with some important holes to fill. OLB Connor Barwin is a UFA, but 2012 1st rounder Whitney Mercilus should be able to step if should he not be retained. They’ll be in the market for a safety (Matt Elam or Eric Reid) should they lose FS Glover Quin and/or SS Quintin Demps this offseason. However, a RT where Rashad Butler is a UFA (as well at Ryan Harris) could be tempting as well with Watson, Long, or Pugh – they also add at OT at some point. I could also see them taking a CB to add some competition to the position so don’t rule out Xavier Rhodes either. Houston has used their 1st round pick on a defensive in eight of their elven years of existence.
Needs: 3/4 NT, RT, WRx2, TE, SS, CBx2, MLBx2, OG, RB, 3/4 OLB, 3/4 DT/DE, FS
QB Stephen McGee
QB Case Keenum
RB Ben Tate
28. Denver (13-4) – Margus Hunt, DE/DT – SMU; Senior: 6’8″ 277
2012 selection Derek Wolfe is a DT playing DE (which also means they not only need DT help, but need DE help too) and with DT’s Kevin Vickerson, Justin Bannan, and Ty Warren set to become UFA’s the interior line is a mess. Hunt is an intriguing prospect who has a lot of upside, and an exceptional physic (reminds you of JJ Watt). He may be better suited for a 3/4 DE – but I think his versatility, motor, and strength would be a perfect fit in Denver. A downfall of Hunt it that he’ll be a 26 year old rookie come time for training camp, and he is a bit raw (he needs to play lower). Nonetheless, I wouldn’t be surprised if he went as high as No.18 to Dallas – he is definitely someone to follow closely. If Denver is able to lure ex-Colt Dwight Freeney to town, then a DE becomes less likely here – although Hunt can play DT too. Sylvester Williams will also be a tempting option here for them as well. For a 13 win team they have some important holes to fill, which starts with re-signing UFA LT Ryan Clady. They may have to use the franchise tag on Clady, so I doubt they lose him – but they may look to replace 30 year old RG Chris Kuper (scheduled to make $4.5Million base salary in 2013 and coming off injuries). Barett Jones would be a likely option under that scenario. They’ll also look to upgrade the MLB spot over UFA Keith Brooking (and they may cut Joe Mays) with LSU’s Kevin Minter – although it’d being said they plan to fix the position in-house with Nate Irving. New OC Adam Gase shouldn’t hinder Peyton Manning’s work with this core group of players, but I’d think they could sure up a slot WR and try to find a late round sleeper RB in this draft. I’d expect Denver to take a ‘win now’ approach and try to fill important needs in free-agency – so they could be a candidate to trade down if the right guy isn’t here. Jarvis Moss was the last DE prospect to be selected by the Broncos with a 1st round pick, that was back in 2007.
Needs: 4/3 DT, RB, RG, MLB, CB, Slot-WR, 4/3 DE, SS, C, FS, LT, 4/3 OLB, QB
CB Mario Butler
WR Gerell Robinson
S Duke Ihenacho
29. Patriots (13-5) – Xavier Rhodes, CB/S – Florida State; *Junior: 6’2″ 210
Xavier Rhodes really helped his stock with a good showing at the combine – he certainly cemented himself as the No.2 CB behind Milliner. In fact, I think he may have worked himself into consideration for a pick in the No.12 to No.21 range. He has good speed, is physical, and probably best suited in a zone coverage (or press-man coverage over off-the-ball man coverage). I think with his size, he also has potential as a safety. New England has Aqib Talib (he could be franchised, but I doubt that) and Kyle Arrington both as free-agents this offseason. Their secondary concerns don’t stop there because SS Patrick Chung, SS Josh Barrett, FS Will Allen, and CB Marquise Cole are all UFA’s this offseason. A safety could also come in handy, so keep Eric Reid on the radar as well. They’re likely to lose UFA WR Wes Welker (and they may part ways with Brandon Lloyd) this offseason (maybe they’ll target Rams UFA Danny Amendola as a replacement), but they’ll definitely need to look to receiving help. Patton is a prospect that is gaining a lot of interest as of late, and should continue to see a rise in stock moving forward. They already lack receiver depth since Julian Edelman, Deion Branch, and Donte’ Stallworth are all UFA’s – so guys like Tavon Austin, Quinton Patton, and DeAndre Hopkins could be in play at this spot. The Patriots will also need to sure up offensive line depth, but even though RT Sebastian Vollmer is an UFA – he should be retain (probably with the franchise tag). They could also elect to add depth along the front-seven, heck – you never know what ol’ Bill Belichick will do with his draft picks, but don’t rule out trading down. New England last took a DB in the 1st in 2010 with Devin McCourty (and in 2007 with Brandon Meriweather) – but they have selected eight defensive backs within the first three rounds since 2005.
Needs: No.1 WR, CB, C, 4/3 DE, FS, RT, OG, Slot-WR, DT, MLB, 4/3 OLB, SS
DT/DE Armond Armstead
QB Mike Kafka
DE Marcus Benard
WR Andre Holmes
QB Ryan Mallet
30. Falcons (14-4) – Zach Ertz, TE – Stanford; *Junior: 6’5″ 249
I think they’ll likely have their pick between either Eifert or Ertz, but it’s looking like Eifert is going to be gone. Ertz isn’t a bad fallback option though – he has excellent hands, is athletics, and is a quality blocker. It seems like Tony Gonzalez is done (retiring that is, and yeah – he is an UFA too), and even if he does return they still could use a guy like Ertz (or Eifert) for the future. He creates matchup problems and catches the ball with his hands so he seems like a natural fit down the seam with Jones and White on the outside. This could be Eifert just as easy depend on availability and preference. RB Michael Turner is in the final year of his contract (and 32 years old) that’ll pay him $6.9Million in 2013 so he’ll likely be released this offseason unless he takes a big pay-cut. I’d expect Atlanta to draft a young tailback in the first three rounds of the draft – maybe its Eddie Lacy if he is available here. The Falcons will also be faced we offensive line issues because starting LT Sam Baker (and reserve OT and Will Svitek) is a UFA and starting 36 year old C Todd McClure is an UFA too. replacing McClure is a must in OC Dirk Koetter’s pass first attack, but I think last years 2nd rounder Peter Konz can handle that duty – however, RG is a concern. I will say this, Kyle Long is a prospect I almost mocked here and I like as a RG, or as a potential LT if they lose Sam Baker this offseason. Their other area’s of concern come on the defensive side of the ball with SS’s William Moore and Chris Hope both UFA’s. That need could put Matt Elam or Eric Reid in play at this spot. Starting CB Brent Grimes (who was franchised last offseason) is an UFA too, but they have enough depth that they could address corner at another spot. The other big need in the ATL is DE (pass rushing) help. DE John Abraham is running out of effective years at age 35 and they haven’t been able to get the pressure on the opposing quarterback they need to. If they don’t go offense with Ertz, Eifert, Barrett Jones, or Eddie Lacy then it’s a good bet they consider Dantone Jones, Margus Hunt, or Sam Montgomerty here. They’ve never spend a 1st round pick on a TE, but the TE position has grown into a vital part of the NFL offensive attack. Remember, Oregon OL Kyle Long is a guy to keep an eye on here.
Needs: TE, 4/3 DE, RB, RG, LT, 4/3 DT, SS, CB, C, Slot-WR, QB, MLB, FB, 4/3 OLB
RB Josh Vaughan
31. 49ers (13-5-1) – Datone Jones, DE/DT – UCLA; Senior: 6’4″ 283
He can virtually play any position on the line, and his strength, quickness, and explosiveness makes him extremely attractive to a 1st round suitor. Jones is a prospect that is gaining value after a nice showing in Indy, plus he is a high character guy with a NFL ready frame. He seem to be a perfect fit in their 3/4 scheme, and it doesn’t hurt that DE/DT Justin Smith is nearing the end of his career. Hankins, Jesse and Sylvester Williams, and John Jenkins are also tempting because they could use a NT because Isaac Sopoaga and Ricky Jean-Francois are UFA’s. Obviously, the 49ers need a WR to stretch the field (a deep ball threat) since Randy Moss and Ted Ginn Jr. are UFA’s this offseason. Nuk Hopkins could be that guy, and now that they’ve acquired pick No.34 overall he is still an option there. I think Sam Montgomery is worth mentioning here as well as a replacement as a 3/4 DE for Justin Smith because he offers some value – as would Hunt, Kawann Short, or a sleeper like Brandon Williams. San Francisco doesn’t have that many holes to fill, but they need to add depth and competition to get better play from each position. FS is a potential issue of they cant re-sign UFA Dashon Goldson, they need to add more linebackers for rotating players, and a second TE might suit them well (Delanie Walker is an UFA). Overall depth on the offensive line could be an area they address – undrafted RG Alex Boone (who transitioned from OT) isn’t horrible (he actually filled in nicely as a 1st year starter in his 3rd NFL season), but they could bring in competition to push him. Trading away Alex Smith for pick No.34 (and a condition high round selection in 2014) is a major win for San Fran. They now have this pick, No.34, No.61, No.74, and No.93 all within the first 3 Rounds so they could be major players come draft day. They’re in position to add quality depth, or make a move up for a player they covet. Oh, and they need a Kicker later on.
Needs: 3/4 DT, WR, 3/4 DE, RG, OLBx2, CB, FS, K, MLBx2, RT, SS, TE, C
QB Alex Smith
*PROJECTED TRADE* No. 41 (2nd), No.102 (4th) and OT Zerbie Sanders to Baltimore Ravens for No.32
32. Bills FROM Ravens (14-6) – Ryan Nassib, QB – Syracuse; Senior: 6’2″ 227
Buffalo will surely be targeting Nassib because of his ties to the new coaching staff (Syracuse connection), and I think they fear that waiting to No.41 may be too risky. Jacksonville and Philadelphia would be their main competition if they wait, but you never know who else may be looking for a move up to grab him (Cleveland?). His selection won’t just be a result of his Syracuse ties because Nassib is actually a pretty quality quarterback prospect with good vision, decision making, and accuracy. Nassib displays good leadership, footwork – and should be a target for West Coast offenses. Obviously, Buffalo will be in the market for any of the top prospects at QB (so don’t rule out any of them). If the Bills passes on Smith, Glennon, Barkley – or Nassib at No.8 overall they’ll likely definitely pursue one with their 2nd pick. It seems like Tarvaris Jackson is going to be given an opportunity to start, but Nassib’s familiarity with the offense could give him the upper-hand. If Jackson is ruled the Week 1 starter, it’ll just give Nassib (or the whomever the young QB is) time to adjust to the NFL game and learn before a midseason takeover. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will be released by March 13th, but I don’t think it’s out of the question for them to consider adding another veteran arm this offseason on top of Jackson and a rookie. If Buffalo does selection a future franchise signal-caller in Round 1 of this draft it’d be the first 1st round pick used on a QB since 1983 when Jim Kelly was taken at No.14 overall.
Needs: QBx2, Big-WR, MLB, SS, 4/3 DE, CB, TE, 4/3 OLBx2, LG, WR, FS, LT, FB
*Ravens would do this because as tempting as Manti Te’o and Kevin Minter are – they can probably still land one of them at No.41. I think Tavon Austin could be a player they target, but they aren’t in a situation were they need to reach so adding an extra pick and still getting a player they can use later would be nice for Baltimore. If they make the pick, they’ll consider an ILB, possibly Barrett Jones, a wide receiver, or one of the best available defensive players on their board (Matt Elam, Eric Reid, Sam Montgomery).
Well I think it’s clear that UFA QB Joe Flacco is the new face of the franchise and will get his big payday – the question is for how much. I know a possible replacement for Ray Lewis here will be their man target. Another likely option would be Barrett Jones with Matt Birk headed for retirement too. The Ravens aren’t in the best financial situation (is Terrell Suggs in jeopardy?) and may have to consider releasing Super Bowl standout WR’s Anquan Boldin (or he might retire) and Jacoby Jones to save nearly $10Million. So, whether its Tavon Austin or another wideout, they’ll surely need to add a few receivers. They also need a LT this offseason (sorry, Mike Oher – but you’re a RT now) since it took 33 year old UFA Bryant McKinnie (who will probabvly be re-signed) to secure the spot late after shuffling people around. Baltimore’s trademark has always been the defense, but that group is undergoing change this offseason – mainly with Ray Lewis riding off into the sunset with his 2nd Super Bowl ring. Paul Kruger is an UFA, including: FS Ed Reed, CB Cary Williams, ILB Dannell Ellerbe, NT Ma’ake Kemoeatu, and other key reserves. Obiously they’ll be looking for a player like Kevin Minter (or Te’o, Arthur Brown) to take over in the middle, but depending on what happens in free-agents their needs could bring Matt Elam, Eric Reid, Sam Montogemery, Johnathan Jenkins, or Menelik Watson into play here if they keep the pick. They traded down with Minnesota in last years draft, so it’s not unlikely that they’d so it again this year if the player they want isn’t available.
Needs: MLBx2, C, WR, LT, FS, 3/4 DE, Slot-WR, 3/4 OLB, 3/4 NT, OG, SS, CB, QB
MLB Ray Lewis (Retired)
C Matt Birk (Retired)
WR Tori Gurley
RB Lonyae Miller
33. Jaguars – Menelik Watson, OT – Florida State; *Junior: 6’5″ 310
He has a lot of upside, and may work his way into the 1st round. He would be an upgrade at RT over Cameron Bradfield – and could eventually move the left-side down the road. His downfall is – he originally wanted to be a basketball player, so he lacks a lot of quality college start having only played 1 year at Florida State as a JUCO transfer
34. 49ers (Chiefs) – Eric Reid, FS – LSU; *Junior: 6’0″ 213
They acquired this pick for former No.1 overall pick Alex Smith. They could opt for a WR here, but I think Reid would be a nice fit – especially if they cant’t re-sign UFA Dashon Goldson this offseason. They’ll have some flexible here, and with 11 picks total they could wheel-and-deal. Keep and eye on Jonathan Cyprien here as well.
35. Eagles – Sylvester Williams, DT – UNC; Senior: 6’3″ 313
Cullen Jenkins is gone, and Williams would be great value here opposite 2012 1st round Fletcher Cox. In the 3/4 he could play a NT, but I think he’ll be used in a rotation at DE. Great value here for him – but Kyle Long is another guy of value and need (and with an Oregon connection).
36. Lions – Desmond Trufant, CB – Washington; Senior: 6’0″ 190
Trufant impressed me at the combine, and I think he impressed a lot of teams. I think He could be in the mix as a late 1st, but if Detroit misses on Milliner in the 1st then this would be a great addition.
37. Bengals (Raiders) – Kevin Minter, MLB – LSU; *Junior: 6’0″ 246
Minter could be their guy at No.21, but i think he’ll slide due to a slow 40-time at the combine. He’ll replace Maualuga and allow Vontaze Burfict to stay a WOLB. Eddie Lacy copuld be a potential target here as well, or a safety if they pass on one in the 1st.
38. P* Packers FROM Arizona – Eddie Lacy, RB – Alabama; *Junior: 5’11″ 231
This is from a projected trade – and obviously Lacy would solve the RB issue with his nice combo over power and speed. Barrett Jones may draw interested, as well as Manti Te’o. Green Bay would definitely benefit by moving down, because it looks like a player of need will still be around. If Arizona was making the pick then it’d be a QB be most likely.
***Browns – FORFEIT (Supplemental Draft – WR Josh Gordon)
39. Jets – Kyle Long, OG/OT – Oregon; Senior: 6’6″ 313
I think Kyle Long could eventually work his way into the 1st before April, but he is a nice fit here for the Jets. New York will likely consider an offensive lineman at No.9, but passing on one and still land Long is a major plus. Te’o would also be appealing to them, but they honestly could go any number of ways – including QB.
40. Titans – Barrett Jones, C/OG/OT – Alabama; Senior: 6’4″ 306
It may be a little early for Jones, but I think HC Mike Munchak has a circle around Jones already. He is a smart player who offers a lot of versatility – and is good value in my opinion (especially if they pass/miss on Warmack in Round 1). Lotulelei and Jones would have the Titans on their way to a fine draft.
41. P* Ravens FROM Bills – Manti Te’o, MLB/OLB – Notre Dame; Senior: 6’1″ 241
Moving down and still landing Te’o almost seems…unreal (lol). It may be too good to be true for Baltimore, but the bottom line is unless Manti Te’o runs better at his pro-day he’ll likely fall into Round 2. I think he could still go as high as No.17 overall, but I can’t see Baltimore passing him on despite some of the other talent they could choose from.
42. Dolphins – Quinton Patton, WR – Louisiana Tech; Senior: 6’0″ 204
Patton may end up as high as No.22 or No.23 overall, but this would be a nice landing spot for him. I like him a lot – and think he is an underrated star prospect. Even if Miami lands a premiere WR in Free-Agency – I still think they draft a young guy early in this draft. If not Patton then K.Allen, T.Williams or J.Hunter all makes sense as well.
43. Tampa Bay – Matt Barkley, QB – USC; Senior: 6’3″ 227
Barkley may end up as a 1st rounder – I just don’t believe it yet (and not a big fan of his compared to other prospects). Freeman is their guy (they need a backup however), but he’ll be a free agent after the 2013 season – so getting Barkley not only gives them insurance, but leverage in contract negotiations with Freeman next Summer. I guess this is good value for Barkley, who may go as high as No.7 overall – or in my opinion be a 3rd round guy. There really isn’t a better option here for Tampa Bay anyhow.
44. Carolina – Kawann Short, DT – Purdue; Senior: 6’3″ 299
Im not a fan of Kawann Short, but he’ll likely be a Top 50 selection (possibly even late 1st) and because Carolina didn’t land a defensive lineman in Round 1 he makes a lot of sense. I like Bennie Logan better than Short, so keep an eye on him – or they could opt for a bigger bodied tackle like Johnathan Jenkins (he isn;t a good fit, but better overall prospect).
***Saints – FORFEIT (Bounty Penalty)
45. Chargers – Jordan Mills, OT – Louisiana Tech; Senior: 6’5″ 316
Mills is a guy I’m mocking a little higher than you typically see him. Even with Warmack, they still need offensive line help (a lot of it actually) – so expect them to take an OT early as well. Aside from Mills – Pugh, Aboushi, or Watson (if he falls) would be likely options. Mills is viewed as a 3rd/4th round RT, but I think he is a sleeper who has the talent (and measurable) to become a LT in the league.
46. Rams – Keenan Allen, WR – California; *Junior: 6’2″ 206
There are some injury questions regarding Allen (who fits the Anquan Boldin mold), but that’s not why I have him a little lower than expect. He could be the Rams 1st Round selection, and be gone well before now – but I think the general talent of defensive players and depth of good wideouts could push him down the board some – nonetheless, a great get for St.Louis here.
47. Dallas – Sam Montgomery, DE/OLB – LSU; *Junior: 6’3″ 262
Montgomery is more of a value pick here, although he does fit a need. He has 1st round talent, and would be an a nice 4/3 De fit opposite of DeMarcus Ware in Dallas. Other options for dallas would be Warford, Pugh, Cyprien, or maybe a QB like Matt Barkley. I’m still just excited about the possibility of them landing Tavon Austin in the 1st round.
48. Steelers – Terrence Williams, WR – Baylor; Senior: 6’2″ 208
Mike Wallace is likely gone, and Brown is more of a speedster so a big-bodies wideout like Williams (Allen or Hunter even) would be a nice addition for Pittsburgh here. The’ll likely have a lot of options, because they have a lot of needs – but I don’t think they could go wrong with a complete receiver like this.
49. Giants – Arthur Brown, MLB/OLB – Kansas State; Senior: 6’0″ 241
Aside from rebuilding their offensive line – they’ll be look to add a MLB and a OLB. Brown has bulked up, and would seem to be a nice MLB option for them here. I still look for them to consider all, and any, offensive lineman with early picks – however, Brown could emerge as a steal at this point in the draft.
50. Bears – Larry Warford, OG – Kentucky; Senior: 6’3″ 332
They passed on Cooper in the first for Eifert, but they must upgrade the guard positions. In fact, they’re lucky to land Warford here because he could be gone – but he, Pugh, and Dallas Thomas will likely all be in play with this pick. They could also consider defensive prospect like to fill holes as well, especially at MLB, CB, and DT if they lose Henry Melton.
51. Redskins – Justin Pugh, OT/OG – Syracuse; *Junior: 6’4″ 307
The Redskins are making their first selection due to the RGIII trade last season, which worked out well. Griffin is expected to return at full strength from a knee injury suffered in January and Washington seems to be on the right path finally. Headed into the offseason the Redskins are faced with RT and LG problems on the offensive line since LG Kory Lichtensteiger and RT’s Jammal Brown and Tyler Polumbus so addressing those area’s will be key to Robert Griffin’s return. The Skins being happy to land the versatile Pugh at this point, but Arthur Brown, Jonathan Cyprien, or Jonathan Banks will also be on thier radar I’d imagine. Pugh is often thought to be better suited as a OG in the NFL (he does look more like a guard, has short arms, and needs to get better against bull-rushing defensive player), but he should be able to play RT in time (if not he is still a valuable pick as a potential LG in a zone-blocking scheme). Pugh is an experienced player who has good balance, feet, and mobility. The Skins will have a tough decision to make with TE Fred Davis (an UFA after being franchised last year) so they could be looking for depth at TE at some point. Defensively they’ll be looking for help at the linebacking positions, a FS since Madieu Williams is an UFA, and depth a CB. Adam Carriker is return from a 2012 injury, but he is also an UFA (so is Kedric Gholston) this offseason. I think a player like Alex Okafor could be in play if Pugh is gone as well. I know DeAngelo Hall is likely to take a pay-cut to stick around, but there should be some quality CB’s for Washington to choose from at this spot as well. However, since RGIII’s health is the key factor heading into the 2013 season I think a lineman is the way to go (with even Oday Aboushi, Terron Armstead, or another offensive lineman). The last offensive lineman Washington took with their first pick of the draft was Trent Williams as the No.4 overall pick in 2010 – however, six of their previous nine first selection of the draft have been on the defensive side of the ball.
Needs: RT, FS, 3/4 OLB, CB, LG, MLBx2, TE, SS, WRx2, C
DE/DT Phillip Merling
DT Ron Brace
TE DeAngelo Peterson
52. Vikings – Justin Hunter, WR – Tennessee; *Junior: 6’4″ 196
I have them acquiring DHB in a proposed trade, but they need all the pass catchers they can get – especially this guy who is 6’4″ with good route running ability. If they makes their No.23 overall selection they could take a WR there, freeing this pick up to consider an OG, DT, or MLB.
53. Bengals – Johnthan Banks, CB – Mississippi State.; Senior 6’2″ 185
Banks hurt his stock in Indy at the combine with a slow 40-time – likely ending his chances at a 1st round selection, but he is still a talented corner. The Bengals need to upgrade the position because they have so many upcoming CB who are UFA’s, but if not Banks then a name to keep an eye on is Jamar Taylor.
54. Dolphins (Colts) – David Amerson, CB/S – NC State; *Junior: 6’1″ 205
Amerson was awful on tape this season (getting burnt a lot), but he boosted his stock at the combine a little. He ran well, has nice size and may make people remember he was was considered a Top 10 prospect for this draft. UFA CB Sean Smith probably won’t be back (too much money), and Amerson offers a lot of the same style as a replacement for him.
55. Packers – Travis Frederick, C/OG – Wisconsin; *Junior: 6’4″ 312
I like this pick a lot even though it’s just a center. They need durability along the offensive line, and while it’s possibly slightly early for Frederick I think he is a good prospect (I wouldn’t think twice about mocking him even higher). I’m not sure that there is a better option out there for them in this scenario anyhow – maybe Johnathan Jenkins.
56. Seattle – Khaseem Greene, OLB – Rutgers; Senior: 6’1″ 241
They’ll be looking for a WOLB to replace UFA LeRoy Hill. Greene is a guy who could be gone by this point, so other options to consider are S.Moore, Gooden, and C.Thomas.
57. Texans – Jonathan Cyprien, SS – Florida International; Senior: 6’0″ 217
The popular pick would be a WR like Hopkins, but I think they can attractive a veteran this offseason (or address the wideout later). Cyprien is a rising prospect who fills a big need on their defensive unit.
58. Denver – Robert Woods, WR – USC; *Junior: 6’0″ 201
Aside from Thomas and Decker they have little option at receiver and I think Woods would be a nice No.3 in their system. He had a productive college career and often gets forgotten when talking about the best WR’s in this class. The could look for more defensive line help (depth), an a RG – but Woods is a good value pick.
59. Patriots – DeAndre ‘Nuk’ Hopkins, WR – Clemson; *Junior: 6’1″ 214
Hopkins could get consideration from New England at pick No.29. The Patriots are going to have to add young WR’s this offseason, and Hopkins could potentially be one of the best in this years group – I’d be surprised if he was around this long. This is a great pick for their offense.
60. Falcons – Giovani Bernard, RB/PR – UNC; **Sophomore: 5’8″ 202
Tunrers going to be done at the ATL – so whether its through the draft or free-agency they’ll be looking for a new No.1 RB. I like the fit with Gio here, but they could also consider a guy like Montee Ball. Alex Okafor may be another strong possibility.
61. 49ers – Johnathan Jenkins, NT/DT – Georgia; Senior: 6’4″ 359
I’m surprised I have Jenkins around still, he definitely has 1st round talent – but I think he’s destination is going to be determined by a 3/4 scheme because he is such a monstrous body. So far, I think San Fran is getting some good quality players to an already good team. I’d suggest that they consider a deep threat WR soon (or with any earlier pick).
62. Ravens – Ryan Swope WR – Texas A&M; Senior: 6’0″ 205
I think Tavon Austin would be nice in Round 1, but his stock may be too high for pick No.32 overall now. So, enter another good slot WR who had a nice combine himself. Swope may have worked his way into Round 2 (possibly a target for Denver too) – but with Boldin’s toughness and Smith going deep – Swope will be a valuable No.3 target for Flacco.
63. Chiefs – Alex Okafor, DE/OLB – Texas; Senior: 6’5″ 264
64. Jaguars – Christine Michael, RB – Texas A&M; Senior: 5’10″ 220
65. Lions – Sio Moore, OLB – U Conn; Senior: 6’1″ 245
66. P* Vikings FROM Raiders – Dallas Thomas, OG/OT – Tennessee; 6’5″ 306
67. Eagles – EJ Manuel, QB – Florida State; Senior: 6’5″ 237
68. Browns – Tyler Wilson, QB – Arkansas; Senior: 6’2″ 215
69. P* Packers FROM Arizona – Jordan Reed, TE – Florida; *Junior: 6’3″ 236
70. Titans – Montee Ball, RB – Wisconsin; Senior: 5’11″ 214
71. Bills – Da’Rick Rodgers, WR – Tennessee Tech; *Junior: 6’2″ 217
72. Jets – Johnathan Franklin, RB – UCLA; Senior: 5’10″ 205
73. Tampa Bay – Jordan Poyer, CB – Oregon State; Senior: 6’0″ 191
74. 49ers (Carolina) – Aaron Dobson, WR – Marshall; Senior: 6’3″ 210
75. Saints – Brandon Williams, DT/NT – Missouri Southern St; Senior: 6’1″ 335
76. Chargers – Landry Jones, QB – Oklahoma; Senior: 6’4″ 225
77. Dolphins – Marcus Lattimore, RB – South Carolina; *Junior: 5’11″ 221
78. Rams – Le’Veon Bell, RB – Michigan State; *Junior: 6’1″ 230
79. Steelers – Joseph Randle, RB – Oklahoma State; *Junior: 6’0″ 204
80. Dallas – Tyler Bray, QB – Tennessee; *Junior: 6’6″ 232
81. Giants – Alvin Bailey, OG – Arkansas; *Junior: 6’3″ 312
82. Dolphins (Bears) – Bennie Logan, DT – LSU; *Junior: 6’2″ 309
83. Vikings – Zaviar Gooden, OLB – Missouri; Senior: 6’1″ 234
84. Bengals – John Simon, DE/OLB – Ohio State; Senior: 6’1″ 257
85. Redskins – Jonathan Bostic, MLB – Florida; Senior: 6’1″ 245
86. Colts – Brian Winters, OG/OT – Kent State; Senior: 6’4″ 320
87. Seattle – Gavin Escobar, TE – San Diego State; *Junior: 6’6″ 254
88. Packers – Oday Aboushi, OT – Virginia; Senior: 6’5″ 308
89. Texans – Cobi Hamilton, WR – Arkansas; Senior: 6’2″ 212
90. Denver – Akeem Spence, DT – Illinois; *Junior: 6’1″ 307
91. Patriots – Shawn Williams, SS – Georgia; Senior: 6’0″ 213
92. Falcons – Cornelius Washington, DE/OLB – Georgia; Senior: 6’4″ 265
93. 49ers – Chase Thomas, OLB – Stanford; Senior: 6’3″ 244
94. Ravens – Terron Armstead, OT – Arkansas-Pine Bluff; Senior: 6’5″ 306
95. Jaguars – Matt Scott, QB – Arizona; Senior: 6’2″ 213
96. Chiefs – Blidi Wreh-Wilson, CB – U Conn; Senior: 6’1″ 195
97. Raiders – Brandon Jenkins, OLB/DE – Florida State; Senior: 6’2″ 251
98. Eagles – Kenjon Barner, RB – Oregon; Senior: 5’9″ 196
99. Vikings (Lions) – Andre Ellington, RB – Clemson; Senior: 5’9″ 199
100. Arizona – Kevin Reddick, MLB/OLB – UNC; Senior: 6’1″ 243
101. Browns – Jamar Taylor, CB – Boise State; Senior: 5’11″ 192
102. P* Ravens FROM Bills – Phillip Thomas, FS – Fresno State; Senior: 6’1″ 208
103. Jets – Travis Kelce, TE – Cincinnati; Senior: 6’5″ 255
104. Titans – Trevardo Williams, OLB/DE – U Conn; Senior: 6’1″ 241
105. Carolina – Darius Slay, CB – Mississippi State; Senior: 6’0″ 192
106. Saints – Jamie Collins, OLB – Southern Mississippi; Senior: 6’3″ 250
107. Chargers – Hugh Thornton, OG – Illinois; Senior: 6’3″ 320
108. Dolphins – Corey Lemonier, DE/OLB – Auburn; *Junior: 6’3″ 255
109. Tampa Bay – Markus Wheaton, WR – Oregon State; Senior: 5’11″ 189
110. Rams – Tony Jefferson, FS – Oklahoma; *Junior: 5’11″ 213
111. Dallas – TJ McDonald, FS – USC; Senior: 6’3″ 219
112. Steelers – Zac Dysert, QB – Miami (OH); Senior: 6’3″ 23
113. Giants – Sean Porter, OLB – Texas A&M; Senior: 6’1″ 229
114. Bears – Nico Johnson, MLB – Alabama; Senior: 6’2″ 248
115. Bengals – Mike Gillislee, RB – Florida; Senior: 5’11″ 208
116. Redskins – Tyrann Mathieu, CB/S/KR – LSU (XXX); *Junior: 5’9″ 186
117. Vikings – Bacarri Rambo, FS – Georgia; Senior: 6’1″ 211
118. Colts – Montori Hughes, DT/NT – Tenn-Martin; Senior: 6’4″ 329
119. Packers – Kiko Alonso, MLB/OLB – Oregon; Senior: 6’3″ 238
120. Seattle – Will Davis, CB – Utah State; Senior: 5’11″ 186
121. Texans – Vance McDonald, TE – Rice; Senior: 6’4″ 267
122. Denver – David Bakhtiari, OT/OG – Colorado; *Junior: 6’4″ 299
123. Tampa Bay (Patriots) – Logan Ryan, CB – Rutgers; *Junior: 5’11″ 191
124. Falcons – William Gholston, DE/DT – Michigan State; *Junior 6’6″ 281
125. 49ers – Robert Alford, CB – SE Louisiana; Senior: 5’10″ 188
126. Ravens – Shamarko Thomas, SS – Syracuse; Senior: 5’9″ 213
127. Chiefs – Stedman Bailey, WR – WVU; *Junior: 5’10″ 193
128. Jaguars – Jelani Jenkins, OLB – Florida; *Junior: 6’0″ 243
129. Eagles – Duke Williams, SS/CB – Nevada; Senior: 5’11″ 200
130. Lions – JC Tretter, OG/C – Cornell; Senior: 6’4″ 307
131. Seattle (Raiders) – Brennan Williams, OT – UNC; Senior: 6’6″ 318
132. Browns – Devin Taylor, DE – South Carolina; Senior: 6’7″ 266
133. Arizona – Malliciah Goodman, DE – Clemson; Senior: 6’4″ 276
134. Jets – Chris Faulk, OT – LSU; *Junior: 6’5″ 331
135. Titans – Dwayne Gratz, CB – U Conn; Senior: 5’11″ 201
136. Bills – Dion Sims, TE – Michigan State; *Junior: 6’5″ 262
137. Saints – Robert Lester, SS – Alabama; Senior: 6’1″ 220
138. Chargers – Zac Stacy, RB – Vanderbilt; Senior: 5’8″ 216
139. Dolphins – Marquise Goodwin, WR – Texas; Senior: 5’9″ 183
140. Tampa Bay – DJ Swearinger, FS – South Carolina; Senior: 5’11″ 208
141. Carolina – Gerald Hodges, OLB – Penn State; Senior: 6’1″ 243
142. Rams – Brian Schwenke, C – California; Senior: 6’3″ 314
143. Steelers – Micah Hyde, FS/CB – Iowa; Senior: 6’0″ 197
144. Dallas – Knile Davis, RB – Arkansas; *Junior: 5’10″ 227
145. Giants – Nick Kasa, TE – Colorado; Senior: 6’6″ 269
146. Bears – Ace Sanders, WR/RB/KR – South Carolina; *Junior: 5’7″ 173
147. Redskins – Michael Buchanan, OLB/DE – Illinois; Senior: 6’5″ 255
148. Vikings – Everett Dawkins, DT – Florida State; Senior: 6’2″ 292
149. Bengals – Xavier Nixon, OT – Florida; Senior: 6’6″ 321
150. 49ers (Colts) – Levine Toilolo, TE – Stanford; *Junior: 6’8″ 260
151. Seattle – Jordan Hill, DT – Penn State; Senior: 6’1″ 303
152. P* Arizona FROM Packers – Kenny Stills, WR – Oklahoma; *Junior: 6’1″ 194
153. Texans – Ricky Wagner, OT – Wisconsin; Senior: 6’6″ 308
154. Denver – Stepfan Taylor, RB – Stanford; Senior: 5’9″ 214
155. Redskins (Patriots) – Zeke Motta, FS – Notre Dame; Senior: 6’2″ 213
156. Falcons – JJ Wilcox, SS – Georgia Southern; Senior: 6’0″ 213
157. 49ers – Garrett Gilkey, OG/OT – Chadron State; Senior: 6’6″ 318
158. Ravens – Khaled Holmes, C – USC; Senior: 6’3″ 302
159. Jaguars – Corey Fuller, WR – Virginia Tech; Senior: 6’2″ 204
160. Chiefs – A.J. Klein, MLB – Iowa State; Senior: 6’1″ 250
161. Lions – Tavarres King, WR – Georgia; Senior: 6’0″ 189
162. P* Vikings FROM Raiders – Keith Pough, OLB/MLB – Howard; Senior: 6’2″ 239
163. Browns (Eagles) – Earl Wolff, SS – NC State; Senior: 5’11″ 209
164. Arizona – Leon McFadden, CB – San Diego State; Senior: 5’10″ 193
165. Browns – Omoregie Uzzi, OG – Georgia Tech; Senior: 6’3″ 302
166. Arizona (Vikings via Titans) – Josh Evans, FS – Florida; Senior: 6’1″ 207
167. Bills – Michael Mauti, MLB/OLB – Penn State; Senior: 6’2″ 243
168. Jets – Tharold Simon, CB – LSU; *Junior: 6’2″ 202
169. Chargers – Kwame Geathers, DT/NT – Georgia; *Junior: 6’5″ 342
170. 49ers (Dolphins) – Quinn Sharp, P/K – Oklahoma State; Senior: 6’1″ 205
171. Tampa Bay – Lavar Edwards, DE – LSU; Senior: 6’4″ 277
172. Carolina – David Quessenberry, OT – San Jose State; Senior: 6’5″ 302
173. Saints – Terry Hawthorne, CB – Illinois; Senior: 6’0″ 195
174. Rams – DeVonte Holloman, OLB/SS – South Carolina; Senior: 6’1″ 243
175. Dallas – Brad Wing, P – LSU; **Sophomore: 6’4″ 185
176. Steelers – Chris Gragg, TE – Arkansas; Senior: 6’3″ 244
177. Giants – BW Webb, CB – William & Mary; Senior: 5’10″ 184
178. Bears – Graham Pocic, C/OG – Illinois; Senior: 6’5″ 310
179. Arizona (Vikings) – Jawan Jamison, RB – Rutgers; **Sophomore: 5’7″ 203
180. Bengals – Lonnie Pryor, FB – Florida State; Senior: 5’11″ 227
181. Redskins – Manase Foketi, OT – West Texas A&M; Senior: 6’5″ 318
182. Colts – David Bass, DE – Missouri Western St.; Senior: 6’4″ 262
183. Packers – Chris Harper, WR – Kansas State; Senior: 6’1″ 229
184. Seattle – Marquess Wilson, WR – Washington State; *Junior: 6’3″ 194
185. Texans – Sanders Commings, CB/S – Georgia; Senior: 6’0″ 216
186. Eagles (Denver) – Brandon McGee, CB – Miami (FL); Senior: 5’11″ 193
187. Bengals (Patriots) – Sean Renfree, QB – Duke; Senior: 6’3″ 219
188. Falcons – Reid Fragel, OT – Ohio State; Senior: 6’8″ 308
189. 49ers – Josh Boyd, DT – Mississippi State; Senior: 6’3″ 310
190. Ravens – Joe Kruger, DE/DT – Utah; *Junior: 6’6″ 269
191. Chiefs – Zach Line, FB/RB – SMU; Senior: 6’0″ 232
192. Jaguars – Joseph Fauria, TE – UCLA; Senior: 6’7″ 259
193. Raiders (Seattle) – Eric Herman, OG – Ohio; Senior: 6’4″ 320
194. Eagles – Cory Grissom, DT/NT – South Florida; Senior: 6’1″ 306
195. Lions – Dustin Hopkins, K – Florida State; Senior: 6’2″ 190
196. Eagles (Browns) – Denard Robinson, WR/QB/KR – Michigan; Senior: 5’11″ 199
197. Vikings (Arizona) – Tanner Hawkinson, OT – Kansas; Senior: 6’5″ 29
198. Seattle (Bills) – Wes Horton, DE – USC; Senior: 6’5″ 260
199. Jets – Daimion Stafford, FS/SS – Nebraska; Senior: 6’0″ 221
200. Titans – Larry Webster, DE – Bloomsburg; Senior: 6’6″ 240
201. Dolphins – Michael Williams, TE – Alabama; Senior: 6’5″ 272
202. Tampa Bay – Onterio McCalebb, RB/KR – Auburn; Senior: 5’10″ 168
203. Raiders (Carolina) – Nickell Robey, CB – USC; *Junior: 5’7″ 169
204. Saints – Conner Vernon, WR – Duke; Senior: 6’0″ 196
205. Chargers – Braxston Cave, C – Notre Dame; Senior: 6’3″ 303
206. Rams – Alex Hurst, OT – LSU; Senior: 6’6″ 332
207. Steelers – Steve Beauharnais, MLB – Rutgers; Senior: 6’1″ 240
208. Dolphins (Dallas) – Ray Ray Armstrong, SS – Faulkner College; Senior: 6’4″ 215
209. Giants – Etienne Sabino, OLB – Ohio State; Senior: 6’2″ 247
210. Patriots (Tampa Bay via Bears) – John Wetzel, OT – Boston College; Senior: 6’7″ 315
211. 49ers (Bengals) – Brad Sorensen, QB – Southern Utah; Senior: 6’4″ 229
212. Redskins – Ryan Otten, TE/WR – San Jose State; Senior: 6’5″ 230
213. P* Raiders FROM Vikings – Stansly Maponga, DE – TCU; *Junior: 6’2″ 256
214. Eagles (Colts) – Mychal Rivera, TE – Tennessee; Senior: 6’3″ 242
215. Seattle – Rashard Hall, FS – Clemson; Senior: 6’1″ 212
216. Packers – Earl Watford, OG – James Madison; Senior: 6’3″ 300
217. Texans – Cierre Wood, RB – Notre Dame; *Junior: 5’11″ 213
218. Denver – Brandon Hepburn, MLB – Florida A&M; Senior: 6’2″ 240
219. Patriots – Josh Boyce, WR – TCU; *Junior: 5’11″ 206
220. Falcons – Tommy Bohanon, FB – Wake Forest; Senior: 6’1″ 246
221. 49ers – Rodney Smith, WR – Florida State; Senior: 6’4″ 225
222. Ravens – Aaron Mellette, WR – Elon; Senior: 6’2″ 217